Well, David Cameron has now come out and said that at his meeting with Ali Miraj he was asked to nominate him for a peerage.
This occurred during a meeting in which Ali Miraj and David Cameron were discussing a critical article that Ali said he intended to publish. (The article is here on Conservative home, please note the number of loyal comments from party workers and Benedict Rogers reply here). Fair enough, however he asked for a peerage at the same meeting, something which he has not denied.
Are we seriously supposed to believe that had he been nominated for a peerage that he would have then gone on to publish the same article? I certainly do not.
So it becomes difficult to believe that this was anything other than a crude attempt at blackmail. Ali Miraj of course denies this and has accused David Cameron of spreading smears, spin and avoiding the issues. The problem with this analysis is that many will find it hard to believe that he would have published the article had he been given a peerage. Had he not meant to associate the two then he should not have mentioned both at the same meeting.
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Young voters Desert Labour!
One of the more interesting details of the Independent's poll by Communicate research which you can view here, is on page 16. It details voting intention by age, and here it is:
Conservative lead over Labour by age group
So there you have it! The Conservative party is the party of the young*!
*Sub samples of polls can be very misleading.
Conservative lead over Labour by age group
| 18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-54 | 55-64 | 65 | |
| Labour | 35 | 31 | 41 | 35 | 37 | 39 |
| Conservative | 44 | 35 | 29 | 29 | 36 | 34 |
| Liberal Democrat | 13 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 17 |
| Conservative Lead | 9 | 4 | -12 | -6 | -1 | -5 |
So there you have it! The Conservative party is the party of the young*!
*Sub samples of polls can be very misleading.
The Need for Discipline
I have read with horror over the past few days, a number of attacks on the party leadership, made in the most public and damaging ways which seem to almost guarantee another election defeat.
We have had all sorts of people popping out of the woodwork the latest two fo which are Maurice Saatchi and Ali Miraj.
Firstly voters do not like a divided party, secondly morale is important in a party, and sniping from behind at the leadership does not help morale.
We have had all sorts of people popping out of the woodwork the latest two fo which are Maurice Saatchi and Ali Miraj.
Firstly voters do not like a divided party, secondly morale is important in a party, and sniping from behind at the leadership does not help morale.
Brown Bounce in two more polls
The Times carries a poll by Populus and the Independent by Communicate research, both showing the Brown bounce, at just after one month since Gordon Brown took over.
The Times poll has Labour on 39% (+2) Conservatives on 33% (-1) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (-3). This gives Labour a six point lead around twice what it actually was at the 2005 general election.
The Independent poll has Labour on 37% (+5) Conservatives on 34% (-2) and the Liberal Democrats on 16% (-2). (Communicate research have been changing their methodology so the change figures are not that useful)
Interestingly enough both papers put their own anti Cameron spin on both polls. I will of course put a bit of spin on one of the polls myself, but later.
The Times poll has Labour on 39% (+2) Conservatives on 33% (-1) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (-3). This gives Labour a six point lead around twice what it actually was at the 2005 general election.
The Independent poll has Labour on 37% (+5) Conservatives on 34% (-2) and the Liberal Democrats on 16% (-2). (Communicate research have been changing their methodology so the change figures are not that useful)
Interestingly enough both papers put their own anti Cameron spin on both polls. I will of course put a bit of spin on one of the polls myself, but later.
Monday, July 30, 2007
The effect of cutting £50 million from the drug rehabilitation program
There has been some talk about the news that the Government is cutting spending on drug rehabilitation by £50 million over the next 3 years.
The story first appeared in the Telegraph here.
The fact is though that this is not a £50 million saving, it involves a net £400 million cost.
Studies have shown that for every £1 spent on drug rehabilitation £9 is saved. So removing £50 million from the budget will cost £450 million elsewhere, leaving a net cost of £400 million. Mind you not all the £450 million will be costs to the tax payer, quite a lot of it is the cost of crime.
Iain Dale also has this.
The story first appeared in the Telegraph here.
The fact is though that this is not a £50 million saving, it involves a net £400 million cost.
Studies have shown that for every £1 spent on drug rehabilitation £9 is saved. So removing £50 million from the budget will cost £450 million elsewhere, leaving a net cost of £400 million. Mind you not all the £450 million will be costs to the tax payer, quite a lot of it is the cost of crime.
Iain Dale also has this.
Yesterday I had been mostly fixing my computer
For some reason or other my computer collapsed yesterday.
Still, I had another one knocking around so have brought it up as a spare having copied over all the user settings and software.
So alls well that ends well.
Still, I had another one knocking around so have brought it up as a spare having copied over all the user settings and software.
So alls well that ends well.
Sunday, July 29, 2007
Graham Brady needs to learn to shut up
I note that Graham Brady will be on BBC Radio 4's the World This weekend saying things like:
The BBC has this.
Mr Brady told BBC Radio 4's The World This Weekend: "The changes David Cameron has made in the Conservative Party have been very successful in some places, and have been better at reaching out to a more liberal, metropolitan mindset.Frankly he needs to learn to keep those conversations private. Unfortunately since he shot his political career in the foot, the only people who can control him is his constituency association. Let us hope some people with influence can get him to be a bit quieter.
"But they have not been making the same impact further away from London - in the north, in the Midlands, in places which really are an absolutely key electoral battlefield if we're going to win a general election.
"I think some of it is about the issues that David Cameron has chosen to focus more on, and some of it is about just tone."
The BBC has this.
Flood Defence Budget cut 15% in real terms since 2000
There is an article in today's News of the World titled "Floody Joke" which points out that in the last 10 years this government has ignored 25 reports that flood defences need to be improved.
It also points out that John Prescott highlighted the need to tackle the problem of flood defences in 2000, yet we hear similar from Hilary Benn some 7 years later with nothing having been done in the meantime.
One of the consistent lessons highlighted has also been the need for a single point of responsibility. That should, it is said, be the Environment agency, yet this still has not been done and won't be for some time yet despite the fact that it is a recommendation from as long ago as 10 years!
Now, what we need to do is to make sure this is the story, the government ignoring what needs to be done, and Gordon Brown not providing the funds.
It also points out that John Prescott highlighted the need to tackle the problem of flood defences in 2000, yet we hear similar from Hilary Benn some 7 years later with nothing having been done in the meantime.
One of the consistent lessons highlighted has also been the need for a single point of responsibility. That should, it is said, be the Environment agency, yet this still has not been done and won't be for some time yet despite the fact that it is a recommendation from as long ago as 10 years!
Now, what we need to do is to make sure this is the story, the government ignoring what needs to be done, and Gordon Brown not providing the funds.
So what's the story?
I have just read an interesting piece by Charles Moore in Saturday's Telegraph. It is entitled "Calm Cameron may understand the story".
It is based on the premise, which I had not thought that much about before, but chimes nevertheless that the media get a story in their heads, and can't let go. The current story is that Gordon Brown is not Tony Blair, which I have to say is not much of a shock to me.
Hence, when Labour were caught with a million pound donation from Bernie Ecclestone and changed policy on banning smoking advertising, that was not the story, because the story was that Tony Blair was a straight kind of guy. In fact Charles says this on the matter:
It is based on the premise, which I had not thought that much about before, but chimes nevertheless that the media get a story in their heads, and can't let go. The current story is that Gordon Brown is not Tony Blair, which I have to say is not much of a shock to me.
Hence, when Labour were caught with a million pound donation from Bernie Ecclestone and changed policy on banning smoking advertising, that was not the story, because the story was that Tony Blair was a straight kind of guy. In fact Charles says this on the matter:
For example, Tony Blair's exemption in 1997 of Formula One from the ban on tobacco advertising because F1's Bernie Ecclestone had given money to the Labour Party was a big story. But it never really took off because The Story then was that Mr Blair was, as he put it, "a pretty straight kind of guy".In essence what we need to do is to stay calm, and look to grab the story when we can. The flooding may provide some help as a close look indicates cuts in flood defence budgets that need explaining.
When "cash for honours" - actually a much less clear case of corruption - came along, however, The Story had changed. Mr Blair was now regarded as a lying sleazeball, and so poor little rich curry kings and property developers who had been so rash as to lend to Labour were pilloried for years. The Story demanded it.
Saturday, July 28, 2007
Rumblings in the Conservative party
Since Gordon Brown has taken over Labour has led in the polls. The last YouGov poll had them 9% ahead.
There then seems to have been some rumblings in the party, some pointing to the great grammar school row, others to the flooding. Some appear to be questioning David Cameron's leadership.
There is an interesting article in the Spectator by Fraser Nelson, looking at who the potential contenders could be should David Cameron fall under a bus, whilst over the weekend we are going to be treated to a series of articles on who could follow Cameron with the finale being an article on who Labour would most fear.
Personally I don't buy it. David Cameron is the only game in town. However there are concerns about the front bench.
Just where the **** was Peter Ainsworth the Conservative shadow Environment minister during the floods asks Iain Dale? What ever he was actually doing he got no air time. Guido pens a short article on the same theme here.
In this article Ben Brogan expresses some concern over just how many part timers the Conservative party has on its front bench. (I have covered the number of part timers on the Liberal Democrats front bench here).
What it all boils down to is this: If we want to win, and I can assure you many of us do, we are going to have to work very very hard. What is more we are going to have to up our game. Those members of the front bench who can't get air time need to take lessons from those who can and do like David Davies. Also Andy Coulson needs to seriously help up the game. It is not just about press releases.
Over the summer, we need to up our game, hit Labour and hit it hard, day in and day out. There is much work to do.
There then seems to have been some rumblings in the party, some pointing to the great grammar school row, others to the flooding. Some appear to be questioning David Cameron's leadership.
There is an interesting article in the Spectator by Fraser Nelson, looking at who the potential contenders could be should David Cameron fall under a bus, whilst over the weekend we are going to be treated to a series of articles on who could follow Cameron with the finale being an article on who Labour would most fear.
Personally I don't buy it. David Cameron is the only game in town. However there are concerns about the front bench.
Just where the **** was Peter Ainsworth the Conservative shadow Environment minister during the floods asks Iain Dale? What ever he was actually doing he got no air time. Guido pens a short article on the same theme here.
In this article Ben Brogan expresses some concern over just how many part timers the Conservative party has on its front bench. (I have covered the number of part timers on the Liberal Democrats front bench here).
What it all boils down to is this: If we want to win, and I can assure you many of us do, we are going to have to work very very hard. What is more we are going to have to up our game. Those members of the front bench who can't get air time need to take lessons from those who can and do like David Davies. Also Andy Coulson needs to seriously help up the game. It is not just about press releases.
Over the summer, we need to up our game, hit Labour and hit it hard, day in and day out. There is much work to do.
Your top 20 political blogs
Iain Dale is running a competition to find the top 100 political blogs, instead of picking them himself. What he wants blog readers to do, is to list their top 20 political blogs, and email them to him your list to iain AT iaindale DOT com and type Top 20 in the subejct line or post them on the comments section of this article.
The closing date is August the 15th 2007.
As an incentive there will be a prize draw including all entrants, and the winner will get £100 pounds worth of political DVD's.
From this he will compile a list of the top 100, and it will go into a guide to political blogging.
Oh, and feel free to nominate me at number 1! :)
The closing date is August the 15th 2007.
As an incentive there will be a prize draw including all entrants, and the winner will get £100 pounds worth of political DVD's.
From this he will compile a list of the top 100, and it will go into a guide to political blogging.
Oh, and feel free to nominate me at number 1! :)
Friday, July 27, 2007
Gordon Brown 's bounce continues
Gordon Brown 's bounce continues, causing much speculation about an October general Election.
A YouGov poll for today's Telegraph puts Labour on 41% (+1) the Conservatives on 32% (-1) and the Liberal Democrats on 16% (+1).
Over on politicalbetting.com there is much speculation about an early general election. Whilst these poll numbers would ensure a Labour victory, there are a couple of caveats. Firstly I can't see the Liberal Democrats doing that badly in a general election, so there vote share will go up, the Conservative vote share is already about as low as it will go, so the increase will knock a couple of points of Labour.
The other caveat is the number of people who disapprove of the government's record to date (52%) or don't know (20%) compared to those who approve (27%). In fact if you look at this graphic the don't knows are quite large. It may well be that they just won't vote, but it certainly is all to play for.
Over July local by-elections have shown a consistent lead Conservative lead over Labour of about 8% according to the Press Association. (See here).
One other thing on polls and elections, I am fairly certain that turnout will be up on 2005, possibly as high as 70%. That means a lot of people who did not vote in 2005 (or indeed in 2001, or 1997) will be voting again. These voters look like the "don't knows" and are classic swing voters. They will ultimately decide the next election, quite possibly on how wealthy they feel compared to last year or the year before.
Then there is the economy. Where is that going? Well as I highlighted here, there are some potential problems ahead centered mainly around the reduction in cheap credit. That has also led to sharp falls in stock markets around the world, and so far today those falls continue though at a slower pace. (I doubt they will go much further than they have already gone though). Oil prices are also high nearly at record levels, which will add to inflation as energy prices may rise, having fallen back from last years high. if inflation picks up again then there is the potential for another rise in bank interest rates. this will further eat into disposable incomes and make people feel poorer than they did.
A YouGov poll for today's Telegraph puts Labour on 41% (+1) the Conservatives on 32% (-1) and the Liberal Democrats on 16% (+1).
Over on politicalbetting.com there is much speculation about an early general election. Whilst these poll numbers would ensure a Labour victory, there are a couple of caveats. Firstly I can't see the Liberal Democrats doing that badly in a general election, so there vote share will go up, the Conservative vote share is already about as low as it will go, so the increase will knock a couple of points of Labour.
The other caveat is the number of people who disapprove of the government's record to date (52%) or don't know (20%) compared to those who approve (27%). In fact if you look at this graphic the don't knows are quite large. It may well be that they just won't vote, but it certainly is all to play for.
Over July local by-elections have shown a consistent lead Conservative lead over Labour of about 8% according to the Press Association. (See here).
One other thing on polls and elections, I am fairly certain that turnout will be up on 2005, possibly as high as 70%. That means a lot of people who did not vote in 2005 (or indeed in 2001, or 1997) will be voting again. These voters look like the "don't knows" and are classic swing voters. They will ultimately decide the next election, quite possibly on how wealthy they feel compared to last year or the year before.
Then there is the economy. Where is that going? Well as I highlighted here, there are some potential problems ahead centered mainly around the reduction in cheap credit. That has also led to sharp falls in stock markets around the world, and so far today those falls continue though at a slower pace. (I doubt they will go much further than they have already gone though). Oil prices are also high nearly at record levels, which will add to inflation as energy prices may rise, having fallen back from last years high. if inflation picks up again then there is the potential for another rise in bank interest rates. this will further eat into disposable incomes and make people feel poorer than they did.
Thursday, July 26, 2007
Will Gordon Brown call a snap election? No!
Gordon Brown will not call a snap election for a number of reasons, not the least of which is that the economy currently looks a bit better than it is.
As I have highlighted before there are some problems in the economy but this article in the Guardian by its economics editor seems to list quite a few of them.
In short disposable income is dropping so people will feel poorer. What is more the current growth is still debt fueled and there is some evidence the debt balloon is ceasing growth and possibly going into some decline.
Then there is housing. For some not particularly well explained reason people who have been buying to sit (that is buying property to leave it to sell at a later date for a profit) have been buying the wrong sort of property off plan, in some areas like Salford where they have been buying executive apartments where executives are unlikely to want to live.
So when people come back from holiday they are going to be poorer and then tighten their belts. That will result in lower growth and more belt tightening. What is more that will also squeeze the amount of tax revenue coming in. If money supply does not slow, slowing asset inflation then interest rates will go up again, making the situation worse.
In short not a good time to hold an election.
Mind you, there won't be a better time either.
As I have highlighted before there are some problems in the economy but this article in the Guardian by its economics editor seems to list quite a few of them.
In short disposable income is dropping so people will feel poorer. What is more the current growth is still debt fueled and there is some evidence the debt balloon is ceasing growth and possibly going into some decline.
Then there is housing. For some not particularly well explained reason people who have been buying to sit (that is buying property to leave it to sell at a later date for a profit) have been buying the wrong sort of property off plan, in some areas like Salford where they have been buying executive apartments where executives are unlikely to want to live.
So when people come back from holiday they are going to be poorer and then tighten their belts. That will result in lower growth and more belt tightening. What is more that will also squeeze the amount of tax revenue coming in. If money supply does not slow, slowing asset inflation then interest rates will go up again, making the situation worse.
In short not a good time to hold an election.
Mind you, there won't be a better time either.
Is the news border control force just spin and gimmicks?
Gordon Brown announced that there would be a new border control force, which would have been the adoption of Conservative (and also Liberal Democrat) policy, that Labour have to date argued against.
It looks like a U turn, but in fact isn't really because the reality is that immigration, customs and visa staff will just hang out together in similar uniforms rather than a single coordinated force including police powers and coordinating with all agencies.
In short, looks good, probably won't achieve much.
The BBC has this.
It looks like a U turn, but in fact isn't really because the reality is that immigration, customs and visa staff will just hang out together in similar uniforms rather than a single coordinated force including police powers and coordinating with all agencies.
In short, looks good, probably won't achieve much.
The BBC has this.
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
The Water Bowsers are empty in Gloucester
One of the things that struck me about the effects of flooding in Gloucester is that the water bowsers are empty a lot of the time. People are hunting for water, and yet there is none. Some of this is down to vandalism of a couple of bowsers, but for the most part, they are not being refiled often enough.
This is obviously causing much angst in Gloucester as it is making life much harder.
It seems Gordon Brown has ordered more tankers in, but the rather obvious answer would be to get in the Army to look after the logistics, except that we can't do that because the army are just far too busy being overstretched.
This is obviously causing much angst in Gloucester as it is making life much harder.
It seems Gordon Brown has ordered more tankers in, but the rather obvious answer would be to get in the Army to look after the logistics, except that we can't do that because the army are just far too busy being overstretched.
Are the letter writers going to get a kicking?
Every Wednesday when parliament is sitting the 1922 Committee meets. The leader of the party, David Cameron can only attend if invited, but usually does. (I presume he is usually invited). David Cameron is attending this meeting.
The MSM are putting it about that the meeting is about David Cameron's leadership and the letter writers. My current information is that line is wrong, it is all about the letter writers, and giving them a good going over.
As I said in this article, it is one thing to have doubts, and indeed write the the chairman of the 1922 Committee, and entirely another to blab and get it all over the weekend press.
I hear many of the camps in the parliamentary Conservative party are deeply unhappy with the letter writers and distancing themselves for it. I suspect it won't take long to find out who they were, and then they will be given a really hard time.
The MSM are putting it about that the meeting is about David Cameron's leadership and the letter writers. My current information is that line is wrong, it is all about the letter writers, and giving them a good going over.
As I said in this article, it is one thing to have doubts, and indeed write the the chairman of the 1922 Committee, and entirely another to blab and get it all over the weekend press.
I hear many of the camps in the parliamentary Conservative party are deeply unhappy with the letter writers and distancing themselves for it. I suspect it won't take long to find out who they were, and then they will be given a really hard time.
Gordon Brown's 4th Prime Ministers Questions
Well, this is Gordon Brown's 4th Prime Ministers Questions and the last before the summer recess.
So far on the floods, there seems to be some consensus on the floods, though David Cameron has raised the question of funding for local councils to cover flood relief.
However it has been fairly consensual on the floods.
Some MP's seem to be needling Gordon Brown for not getting his feet wet in the floods, preferring to stay in the air or at control centers.
In David Cameron's second round of questions he raised the question of the EU Constitution. Apparently the Spanish Foreign minister says the treaty is 98% of the treaty whilst the Irish Prime Minister says it is 90%. How much does Gordon Brown think it is? Unsurprisingly Gordon Brown has not given a percentage.
Interesting trading quotes from each others sides, though Gordon Brown did have a good last word, not answering the question but putting the line that the Conservatives have gone back to "the old agenda".
In answer to a Liberal Democrat question on military overstretch he said he would provide all the equipment that the armed services need in Afghanistan. We have had this promise before, and it still has not been met!
For More on Prime Ministers Questions, see here.
So far on the floods, there seems to be some consensus on the floods, though David Cameron has raised the question of funding for local councils to cover flood relief.
However it has been fairly consensual on the floods.
Some MP's seem to be needling Gordon Brown for not getting his feet wet in the floods, preferring to stay in the air or at control centers.
In David Cameron's second round of questions he raised the question of the EU Constitution. Apparently the Spanish Foreign minister says the treaty is 98% of the treaty whilst the Irish Prime Minister says it is 90%. How much does Gordon Brown think it is? Unsurprisingly Gordon Brown has not given a percentage.
Interesting trading quotes from each others sides, though Gordon Brown did have a good last word, not answering the question but putting the line that the Conservatives have gone back to "the old agenda".
In answer to a Liberal Democrat question on military overstretch he said he would provide all the equipment that the armed services need in Afghanistan. We have had this promise before, and it still has not been met!
For More on Prime Ministers Questions, see here.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Brown Bounce continues, but is still not long lasting!
The Guardian has just published its monthly ICM poll which shows Labour at 38% (-1), Conservatives on 32%(-3) and the Liberal Democrats at 20% (+2).
However some of the other numbers are a bit worrying, showing some discontent amongst Conservative voters about David Cameron.
That said we are at fairly early stages in the Brown premiership, Gordon Brown having been Prime minister for just under a month (it is one month tomorrow).
What is clear is that the Conservatives need to recapture the agenda, which was always going to be hard during the transition and doubly so during the flooding.
Hat tip to Frank on PoliticalBetting.com for the link, whilst political betting has this.
However some of the other numbers are a bit worrying, showing some discontent amongst Conservative voters about David Cameron.
That said we are at fairly early stages in the Brown premiership, Gordon Brown having been Prime minister for just under a month (it is one month tomorrow).
What is clear is that the Conservatives need to recapture the agenda, which was always going to be hard during the transition and doubly so during the flooding.
Hat tip to Frank on PoliticalBetting.com for the link, whilst political betting has this.
MOD admits military overstretch
After Sir Richard Dannatt's memo talking of military overstretch was leaked last Sunday a government minister has admitted that the military is a bit stretched. Bob Ainsworth said that the view was both widely spread and known.
"I don't think it's any secret that with the amounts of people we have deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan that there are not huge resources around for contingencies and other things that might arise," he told the Commons defence committee.
That's nice. Any chance of the more resource for our military, and please don't send them into wars your not prepared to pay for.
For more, see yahoo news here.
Hat tip to Yokel for the link.
"I don't think it's any secret that with the amounts of people we have deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan that there are not huge resources around for contingencies and other things that might arise," he told the Commons defence committee.
That's nice. Any chance of the more resource for our military, and please don't send them into wars your not prepared to pay for.
For more, see yahoo news here.
Hat tip to Yokel for the link.
Damned if you do, damned if you don't!
It appears that David Cameron is getting some flak over his decision to carry on with his trip to Rwanda which has been in planning for over a year.
The Rwanda trip also involves a number of volunteers on the ground getting involved in some on the ground projects which are both helpful to the local population and a learning exercise for the volunteers.
The overall message of the trip is that Africa needs trade to get off aid. Trade makes individuals wealthy, as they get jobs, can feed themselves and move out of poverty. It also gradually makes them less accepting of the old ways of bad governance particularly as they get a bit of education and communication. In fact this is beginning to happen in some parts of Africa as highlighted by this article here, on a mobile revolution in Africa.
However, David Cameron is being criticised for going on the trip, for two days whilst there is all this flooding. Well, he has visited some flood hit areas, and all he can do really is go look, and nothing more. If he spent too much time there he could arguably get in the way of the rescue and rebuilding work.
On the other hand what would have happened if he had cancelled his trip? I have no doubt that some would criticise him for "rubber necking" at the floods, just to get his picture taken, when all he can in fact do is ask awkward questions at the next Prime ministers questions.
The Rwanda trip also involves a number of volunteers on the ground getting involved in some on the ground projects which are both helpful to the local population and a learning exercise for the volunteers.
The overall message of the trip is that Africa needs trade to get off aid. Trade makes individuals wealthy, as they get jobs, can feed themselves and move out of poverty. It also gradually makes them less accepting of the old ways of bad governance particularly as they get a bit of education and communication. In fact this is beginning to happen in some parts of Africa as highlighted by this article here, on a mobile revolution in Africa.
However, David Cameron is being criticised for going on the trip, for two days whilst there is all this flooding. Well, he has visited some flood hit areas, and all he can do really is go look, and nothing more. If he spent too much time there he could arguably get in the way of the rescue and rebuilding work.
On the other hand what would have happened if he had cancelled his trip? I have no doubt that some would criticise him for "rubber necking" at the floods, just to get his picture taken, when all he can in fact do is ask awkward questions at the next Prime ministers questions.
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