No doubt all have heard of the sad death this morning of Ivan Cameron, David and Sarah's oldest son at 6 years old.
It is the normal order of things that children should bury their parents. It is so tragic when a child dies. I have to say I have been deeply moved by the news, which has led every news item since it broke.
My condolences go out to all of the family and friends. In particular Ivan's brother and sister, Arthur and Nancy. They have lost an older brother.
I was surprised to hear that prime ministers questions was cancelled though. After all, it is only one life, people are losing jobs and homes, soldiers are dying on active service ..(continued to page 94).
I am not now though. Gordon and Sarah Brown's first born daughter Jenifer Jane died just 10 days after being born. It must have been so difficult for him in the commons today, and I don't suppose anyone in the commons had the stomach for PMQ's.
Any way, may Ivan rest in peace.
The BBC has this, Politicalbetting has this, Iain Dale has this, Guido has this whilst Dizzy has this.
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Sunday, February 22, 2009
Gordon Brown to ban 100% mortgages!
According to various papers, including the Sunday Telegraph, Gordon Brown is to ban 100% mortgages.
There are of course a number of observations you could make.
Firstly its too late in many ways. The horse has not so much as just bolted but to quote David Cameron, has in fact gone on to win the 3:30 at Utoxiter.
It gets worse though. Gordon Brown is saying he knows more about banking. Clearly he doesn't.
The banks have for now at least already stopped lending 100% loan to value mortgages.
The really big problem though is that Gordon has in one stroke ensured that first time buyers will for quite some time, be barred from the housing market. This is of course exactly the reverse of what needs to happen.
The real problem has not been 100% mortgages, it has been the multiplier applied to them and self certification of earnings, as in a complete lack of due diligence on behalf of the banks.
What is even more ironic is that Gordon Brown is talking about prudent lending. Presumably prudent borrowing also. This idiot borrowed well up to the so called golden rule 40% and so had to ditch it at the first sign of trouble.
We hear Labour ministers saying they have "paid off Tory debts". Well that is true, but also obscures the bigger truth. Before the 1991 recession the Conservative government had debts of 20% of GDP. After it it was over 40%. It is true that following Ken Clarke's future budgets Labour paid a bit of that off, but it started this recession with a massive budget deficit and debt rapidly approaching 40% (excluding Northern Rock and public sector pension liabilities).
There are of course a number of observations you could make.
Firstly its too late in many ways. The horse has not so much as just bolted but to quote David Cameron, has in fact gone on to win the 3:30 at Utoxiter.
It gets worse though. Gordon Brown is saying he knows more about banking. Clearly he doesn't.
The banks have for now at least already stopped lending 100% loan to value mortgages.
The really big problem though is that Gordon has in one stroke ensured that first time buyers will for quite some time, be barred from the housing market. This is of course exactly the reverse of what needs to happen.
The real problem has not been 100% mortgages, it has been the multiplier applied to them and self certification of earnings, as in a complete lack of due diligence on behalf of the banks.
What is even more ironic is that Gordon Brown is talking about prudent lending. Presumably prudent borrowing also. This idiot borrowed well up to the so called golden rule 40% and so had to ditch it at the first sign of trouble.
We hear Labour ministers saying they have "paid off Tory debts". Well that is true, but also obscures the bigger truth. Before the 1991 recession the Conservative government had debts of 20% of GDP. After it it was over 40%. It is true that following Ken Clarke's future budgets Labour paid a bit of that off, but it started this recession with a massive budget deficit and debt rapidly approaching 40% (excluding Northern Rock and public sector pension liabilities).
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Is this the end for Jacqui Smith?
Jacqui Smith, the alleged Home Secretary has been in some difficulties over her claiming that her main home in her constituency is in fact not her main home and she really lives with her sister in London.
The Mail On Sunday blows this apart in this article.
The nub of Jacqui's problem is this: She claims that her main residence is her sisters house, some of her neighbours say that she is not telling the truth. They say they can tell when she is in residence by the armed police presence and that that only occurs from Monday mid day to Thursday mid day most weeks, hardly any weekends and crucially not during the parliamentary recess. The thing is this goes directly against what Jacqui Smith has been saying. If these allegations are true, then Jacqui has to be toast. Not only losing her cabinet position, but possibly having to pay back substantial sums in allowances and then going on to electoral defeat.
What I can't understand about this is how she thought she could get away with it? Did she think no one would notice? It is not like she travels incognito after all.
Needless to say the BBC appears not to have anything on the subject, though it does have this on David Cameron's reaction to the affair from last week.
The Mail On Sunday blows this apart in this article.
The nub of Jacqui's problem is this: She claims that her main residence is her sisters house, some of her neighbours say that she is not telling the truth. They say they can tell when she is in residence by the armed police presence and that that only occurs from Monday mid day to Thursday mid day most weeks, hardly any weekends and crucially not during the parliamentary recess. The thing is this goes directly against what Jacqui Smith has been saying. If these allegations are true, then Jacqui has to be toast. Not only losing her cabinet position, but possibly having to pay back substantial sums in allowances and then going on to electoral defeat.
What I can't understand about this is how she thought she could get away with it? Did she think no one would notice? It is not like she travels incognito after all.
Needless to say the BBC appears not to have anything on the subject, though it does have this on David Cameron's reaction to the affair from last week.
Whistle blowers revenge on Gordon Brown
You will no doubt have heard the controversy over Paul Moore's allegations which caused Sir James Crosby to resign as vice chairman of the FSA. This stems from Paul Moore being sacked for the heinous crime of pointing out, in his capacity as a risk manager that the bank was being driven to the wall.
Well, in today's Independent on Sunday he fires off both barrels at Gordon Brown, blaming him for our banking collapse. He will, according to the article, send a dossier of further documents to the Treasury select committee which he says shows the regulatory failure.
The interesting thing in all this is that it was Gordon Brown who changed a regulatory regime that had worked for a very long time for one that has failed at its first test. What is more, he was told at the time that the system he was implementing would lead to failure.
Before anyone carps on about more or less regulation, let me say that the USA has a very large regulatory regime. It did not work either. The fact that lots of boxes have been ticked does not mean everything is tickety boo.
I wonder what the select committee will make of the evidence they will see next week. John McFall, Gordon Brown's lapdog on the committee and also its chairman is unlikely to be a happy bunny.
Well, in today's Independent on Sunday he fires off both barrels at Gordon Brown, blaming him for our banking collapse. He will, according to the article, send a dossier of further documents to the Treasury select committee which he says shows the regulatory failure.
The interesting thing in all this is that it was Gordon Brown who changed a regulatory regime that had worked for a very long time for one that has failed at its first test. What is more, he was told at the time that the system he was implementing would lead to failure.
Before anyone carps on about more or less regulation, let me say that the USA has a very large regulatory regime. It did not work either. The fact that lots of boxes have been ticked does not mean everything is tickety boo.
I wonder what the select committee will make of the evidence they will see next week. John McFall, Gordon Brown's lapdog on the committee and also its chairman is unlikely to be a happy bunny.
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Israeli Election; Who won?
And this is of course the problem.
No one has any idea, nor will they for weeks, possibly months.
Who knows what horse trading will go on to form a government, what is clear is that the Israeli people would like a more stable system which they have not currently got.
Apparently though, both main protagonists are claiming a clear victory! Perhaps they should have gone to Specsavers.
The BBC has this.
No one has any idea, nor will they for weeks, possibly months.
Who knows what horse trading will go on to form a government, what is clear is that the Israeli people would like a more stable system which they have not currently got.
Apparently though, both main protagonists are claiming a clear victory! Perhaps they should have gone to Specsavers.
The BBC has this.
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Why was she not admitted to hospital?
There is a troubling story carried by the BBC. It is a tale of the deeply sad demise of 8 year old Sophie Waller.
If you read the article on the BBC here, the situation appears to have been this:
Sophie was remarkably afraid of dentists.
She had a loose tooth and so would not eat.
As this had happened before, the family GP arranged that the tooth be removed under general anaesthetic.
Not only was that tooth removed, but all her milk teeth were removed on the 9th of November 2005.
She refused to open her mouth to talk or eat.
She was kept in hospital until the 17th of November and given a feeding tube and was then sent home, on the understanding that she would have a bed if needed if things did not improve. (Some minor presumption on my part)
Despite attempts to feed her and contact with a psychologist her health deteriorated.
Four days before she died on the 2nd of December her parents asked for her to be readmitted, that was refused.
There are a number of currently unanswered questions here.
The first of which is who decided to remove all the milk teeth in one go, presumably leaving Sophie very self conscious? Was consent asked for, and if so who gave it?
Who refused re admittance to hospital and why?
The inquest continues, and I hope these questions are answered.
If you read the article on the BBC here, the situation appears to have been this:
Sophie was remarkably afraid of dentists.
She had a loose tooth and so would not eat.
As this had happened before, the family GP arranged that the tooth be removed under general anaesthetic.
Not only was that tooth removed, but all her milk teeth were removed on the 9th of November 2005.
She refused to open her mouth to talk or eat.
She was kept in hospital until the 17th of November and given a feeding tube and was then sent home, on the understanding that she would have a bed if needed if things did not improve. (Some minor presumption on my part)
Despite attempts to feed her and contact with a psychologist her health deteriorated.
Four days before she died on the 2nd of December her parents asked for her to be readmitted, that was refused.
There are a number of currently unanswered questions here.
The first of which is who decided to remove all the milk teeth in one go, presumably leaving Sophie very self conscious? Was consent asked for, and if so who gave it?
Who refused re admittance to hospital and why?
The inquest continues, and I hope these questions are answered.
Economy to be worst in 100 years!
It is not a pleasing thought, but that is apparently Ed Balls' view of the economy.
So much for an end to boom and bust, or indeed how well placed we are to deal with it.
The BBC has this.
So much for an end to boom and bust, or indeed how well placed we are to deal with it.
The BBC has this.
Monday, February 09, 2009
They could face murder charges!
I am horrified by the damage that has been caused by the wildfires in Australia, and very troubled that some may have been started deliberately.
Kevin Rudd has said that those who have started these fires may face murder charges.
Is there no rubbish that a politician will not speak?
If you start a fire that kills people, you can't face a murder charge unless it can be shown that you intended to kill those who died.
On the other hand, in common law jurisdictions you could face a charge of arson recklessly endangering life, (where no one actually needs to die but death is likely) which attracts the same sentence of life in prison.
You do have to wonder though, what sort of scum starts that sort of fire?
The BBC has this.
Kevin Rudd has said that those who have started these fires may face murder charges.
Is there no rubbish that a politician will not speak?
If you start a fire that kills people, you can't face a murder charge unless it can be shown that you intended to kill those who died.
On the other hand, in common law jurisdictions you could face a charge of arson recklessly endangering life, (where no one actually needs to die but death is likely) which attracts the same sentence of life in prison.
You do have to wonder though, what sort of scum starts that sort of fire?
The BBC has this.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Gay adoption again
Or rather, forget about the gay adoption issue for the moment, as you read this story on the front page of today's Daily Mail about grandparents who were forced through lack of cash to give their grandchildren up for adoption because social services said they could not look after them.
Now answer me this:
You are young, your parents either can't or won't look after you, or are dead.
Who would you rather be looked after by? A close family member like a grandparent, or indeed parents, or some stranger?
Why the hell is this sort of thing going on? Have Edinburgh social services got so few pottential baby P's that they have to spend years grinding a family into the dust on the grounds that the grandparents are not in the best of health?
Now answer me this:
You are young, your parents either can't or won't look after you, or are dead.
Who would you rather be looked after by? A close family member like a grandparent, or indeed parents, or some stranger?
Why the hell is this sort of thing going on? Have Edinburgh social services got so few pottential baby P's that they have to spend years grinding a family into the dust on the grounds that the grandparents are not in the best of health?
Monday, January 26, 2009
Labour tank in the polls!
Labour are really tanking in the polls.
The latest Comres poll (They had the Conservatives and Labour as close as 1% 2 months ago) shows a 15% Conservative lead with Labour below 30% at 28%!
This is serious for Labour as that will mean a healthy Conservative majority and more than a decimation of the Labour benches.
(Note, a decimation implies 1 in 10 of the body is killed off).
PoliticalBetting has this, whilst the Independent (whose poll it was) has this.
The latest Comres poll (They had the Conservatives and Labour as close as 1% 2 months ago) shows a 15% Conservative lead with Labour below 30% at 28%!
This is serious for Labour as that will mean a healthy Conservative majority and more than a decimation of the Labour benches.
(Note, a decimation implies 1 in 10 of the body is killed off).
PoliticalBetting has this, whilst the Independent (whose poll it was) has this.
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Labour Peers! get Your Labour Peers here!
Yes, get your Labour Peers here, while they're hot!
Very useful if you have bags of cash and need the odd bill amending.
The Sunday Times carries this interesting article on Labour Peers for sale.
The Sunday Times also approached Conservative, Liberal Democrat and Ulster Unionist Peers but got no joy from them but four out of five Labour Peers approached would help amend a bill for a fee.
I bet Labour party members are feeling proud right now. Mind you what with the Bernie Ecclestone affair almost on day one, its not like we haven't known Labour are rotten to the core.
Very useful if you have bags of cash and need the odd bill amending.
The Sunday Times carries this interesting article on Labour Peers for sale.
The Sunday Times also approached Conservative, Liberal Democrat and Ulster Unionist Peers but got no joy from them but four out of five Labour Peers approached would help amend a bill for a fee.
I bet Labour party members are feeling proud right now. Mind you what with the Bernie Ecclestone affair almost on day one, its not like we haven't known Labour are rotten to the core.
Hamas in War crimes shocker!
Well it depends on what you may think the shock is.
For me it is that Channel 4 seem to have gathered some evidence of Hamas war crimes, as opposed to the fact that they commit them.
Jonathan Miller has made a few reports from Gaza, including some detailing Israel's war crimes there, but in this latest report he highlights some of Hamas', and no not the obvious ones of sending rockets over the border into civilian areas but the one of taking over civilian areas to fight Israel and shooting those who complain. (Albeit in this case non fatally).
Whilst I think that Israel is wrong in many of the things it does something that does get on my nerves is people (albeit a small number) who think Hamas are beyond reproach. Neither side frankly are.
For me it is that Channel 4 seem to have gathered some evidence of Hamas war crimes, as opposed to the fact that they commit them.
Jonathan Miller has made a few reports from Gaza, including some detailing Israel's war crimes there, but in this latest report he highlights some of Hamas', and no not the obvious ones of sending rockets over the border into civilian areas but the one of taking over civilian areas to fight Israel and shooting those who complain. (Albeit in this case non fatally).
Whilst I think that Israel is wrong in many of the things it does something that does get on my nerves is people (albeit a small number) who think Hamas are beyond reproach. Neither side frankly are.
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Barack Obama: The recovery starts today!
It has to be said that Barack Obama is one hell of an orator.
I can't think of an orator in his class, and boy are there some examples you can look at, like Winston Churchill or indeed Adolf Hitler.
In many ways Barack Obama has an easy skill with words. He can say nothing at all and yet inspire. Whilst I still like to see the substance, that is only half the battle. Changing the mood is the other half, and that can only be done with words and leadership. He has the words in spades.
What is more it looks like there will be no easy messages. For example he is clear to say that "government can only do so much".
Things will change tomorrow. George W Bush will be gone. Barack Obama will be President of the United States of America.
In that one moment the mood of America will change. It will become more positive. It will look to the future. Challenges will appear easier. The United States of America will have a spring in its step, one that has not been there for a while.
In that one moment, there is a chance, albeit only a chance, that America will start the long road out of gloom and in that will lift the rest of the world.
Its over to you Barack, good luck, and God bless. Do the best you can. My best wishes and the best wishes of all right minded thinking people are with you.
This really is a world changing event. And I am still a John McCain supporter.
Good luck America.
I can't think of an orator in his class, and boy are there some examples you can look at, like Winston Churchill or indeed Adolf Hitler.
In many ways Barack Obama has an easy skill with words. He can say nothing at all and yet inspire. Whilst I still like to see the substance, that is only half the battle. Changing the mood is the other half, and that can only be done with words and leadership. He has the words in spades.
What is more it looks like there will be no easy messages. For example he is clear to say that "government can only do so much".
Things will change tomorrow. George W Bush will be gone. Barack Obama will be President of the United States of America.
In that one moment the mood of America will change. It will become more positive. It will look to the future. Challenges will appear easier. The United States of America will have a spring in its step, one that has not been there for a while.
In that one moment, there is a chance, albeit only a chance, that America will start the long road out of gloom and in that will lift the rest of the world.
Its over to you Barack, good luck, and God bless. Do the best you can. My best wishes and the best wishes of all right minded thinking people are with you.
This really is a world changing event. And I am still a John McCain supporter.
Good luck America.
The Bank Bailout II: The Sequel!
To hit your taxes soon, The Bank Bailout II: The Sequel!
The last one was so popular that producer Gordon Brown thought he would bring the sequel out quickly to capitalise on the originals reception.
Details are still sketchy, but it appears that the horror theme is continued, with poor ordinary folk being robbed to pay for the hideous mistakes of some bankers, and crucially a complete failure to organise regulation.
Curiously enough when the original was released to much fanfare we were promised that it was a one off work of art, carefully crafted so that there would be no need of a sequel.
Movie goers will cower in fear as they try and hide from the very realistic prospect of having all their money frittered away by an incompetent pair if pillocks.
The BBC has this here.
The last one was so popular that producer Gordon Brown thought he would bring the sequel out quickly to capitalise on the originals reception.
Details are still sketchy, but it appears that the horror theme is continued, with poor ordinary folk being robbed to pay for the hideous mistakes of some bankers, and crucially a complete failure to organise regulation.
Curiously enough when the original was released to much fanfare we were promised that it was a one off work of art, carefully crafted so that there would be no need of a sequel.
Movie goers will cower in fear as they try and hide from the very realistic prospect of having all their money frittered away by an incompetent pair if pillocks.
The BBC has this here.
Monday, January 19, 2009
Ken Clarke back!
I have to say I am a bit gob smacked.
There has been much rumour about, and to be fair it had reached a point where it was inevitable, but I am still surprised.
On the down side I am not happy about his approval of the VAT cut which was pointless, and I do not agree with the level of his support for Europe.
On the upside, he is a good man, a good politician and a big hitter.
The BBC has this.
There has been much rumour about, and to be fair it had reached a point where it was inevitable, but I am still surprised.
On the down side I am not happy about his approval of the VAT cut which was pointless, and I do not agree with the level of his support for Europe.
On the upside, he is a good man, a good politician and a big hitter.
The BBC has this.
Sunday, January 18, 2009
Decisive poll lead for the Conservative party
Two polls are out in the Sunday papers, one in the Sunday Times and one in the Independent on Sunday.
Both are covered on PoliticalBetting.
In short the Conservatives have between a 13% lead (YouGov in the Sunday Times, see PB here) and 9% (Comres in the Independent on Sunday, see PB here.)
In short, Gordon Brown's second bounce is well and truly over. We are talking landslide territory.
Both are covered on PoliticalBetting.
In short the Conservatives have between a 13% lead (YouGov in the Sunday Times, see PB here) and 9% (Comres in the Independent on Sunday, see PB here.)
In short, Gordon Brown's second bounce is well and truly over. We are talking landslide territory.
Friday, January 16, 2009
One hell of a landing!
So said Jeff Kolodjay, a passenger aboard a US Airways flight that ditched in the Hudson River.
Well, any landing you can walk away from is a good one, and I am so pleased everyone did escape with their lives.
A good result.
(Well, it would have been better if it had been an uneventful flight... but it could have been so much worse)
The BBC has this.
Well, any landing you can walk away from is a good one, and I am so pleased everyone did escape with their lives.
A good result.
(Well, it would have been better if it had been an uneventful flight... but it could have been so much worse)
The BBC has this.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Heathrow third runway to go ahead!
Apparently the Government is going to announce tomorrow that the third runway at Heathrow is to go ahead.
Bonkers. The road traffic around Heathrow already and the train links are very very bad indeed. Not only that but the quality of life for any one living in the area will go down the pan.
The BBC has this.
Bonkers. The road traffic around Heathrow already and the train links are very very bad indeed. Not only that but the quality of life for any one living in the area will go down the pan.
The BBC has this.
Gordon Brown out of touch on VAT!
Gordon Brown is totally out of touch with what hard pressed people are actually spending their money on.
At today's Prime ministers questions he said that the VAT cut was saving the average family £5 per week. If you calculate that you would need to spend £235 per week on goods and services which attract VAT. (£1,018 per calender month or £12,220 per year).
So, after you have paid for all those things that do not have VAT on them, like rent/mortgage, council tax, food, domestic gas those things that do attract VAT but have had their duty raised, like cigarettes, beer and petrol, do you have £235 left? I don't. Neither does anyone I know.
Which planet is he living on? On the other hand for the same money he could have raised personal income tax allowances to £10,000 thus putting £67 per calender month in my pocket, or about £15 per week! Three times as much as the government claim and much much more than that over what benefit I get from the VAT cut.
At today's Prime ministers questions he said that the VAT cut was saving the average family £5 per week. If you calculate that you would need to spend £235 per week on goods and services which attract VAT. (£1,018 per calender month or £12,220 per year).
So, after you have paid for all those things that do not have VAT on them, like rent/mortgage, council tax, food, domestic gas those things that do attract VAT but have had their duty raised, like cigarettes, beer and petrol, do you have £235 left? I don't. Neither does anyone I know.
Which planet is he living on? On the other hand for the same money he could have raised personal income tax allowances to £10,000 thus putting £67 per calender month in my pocket, or about £15 per week! Three times as much as the government claim and much much more than that over what benefit I get from the VAT cut.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Brown Bounce 2 ends shocker!
Gordon Brown's second poll bounce has ended.
Politicalbetting.com has this, whilst the poll is in the Times here.
The raw numbers are: Conservatives on 43% (+4), Labour on 33% (-2) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (-2).
I can't help but feel that the Liberal Democrats will gain votes, mostly from Labour though, widening the gap which would give David Cameron a 42 seat majority.
Politicalbetting.com has this, whilst the poll is in the Times here.
The raw numbers are: Conservatives on 43% (+4), Labour on 33% (-2) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (-2).
I can't help but feel that the Liberal Democrats will gain votes, mostly from Labour though, widening the gap which would give David Cameron a 42 seat majority.
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