YouGov Poll Lead cut to 5% for Labour

Though to be fair it has drifted up by 2% since the last poll a couple of weeks ago.

The poll in today's Sunday Times has Labour on 39% (+1) the Conservatives on 34% (-1) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (NC).

I still can't see an early election based on these numbers, and still think we will not see one until May 2010 by which time there will be a "time for a change" mood in the electorate.

Personally I am expecting continued poll turbulence over the next 3 months, though I expect the Conservatives to be ahead in at least one poll in early October.

PoliticalBetting has this, whilst Anthony Wells has this.