Friday, October 05, 2007

Election Speculation continues. Will it be November the 1st?

Well, election speculation continues despite Labour's lead in the polls being slashed. Fair enough, you would not want to make the decision on the basis of one or two polls.

The problem here is that the polls will not settle down for two weeks, when we will have a better idea of what they are doing. Right now it is all volatility and froth.

So what happens now?

Well, the Guardian and others report that the pre budget report has been brought forward to Tuesday when the Chancellor Alistair Darling will be in the house from 3.45. He will also cover the public sector borrowing requirement.

Some of the figures are going to be bleak. Growth figures are going to be scaled back, and we are going to get the usual admission that the tax take was not what Gordon thought it would be, so borrowing figures are going to be higher. Coupled with a lower growth rate that will make the next budget tight. If there are giveaways then they will taxes elsewhere to balance the books, as well as increased borrowing.

So will there be an election? The media are all convinced that Gordon will make a decision this weekend on the basis of private polls in marginals. In short, he will go if he thinks he can win it.

The interesting thing is what is the media narrative going to be. It seems to be that Gordon is seriously considering going now because of fears that the economy is about to go belly up. What is more, from April the 10p tax band goes, hitting lots of low income earners. That is not going to be good either. The higher income earners who would have benefited from the basic rate drop are probably paying higher council tax bills and mortgages so wont feel that in their pockets either.

If there is an election it will be tight, no matter what anyone says. If the public think Gordon is cutting and running before bad news they may well punish him now.

It always was monumentally daft to think of having an election around now, because we just will not know what public opinion truly is for a while, what is more that was always going to be the case. New leader honeymoon followed by conferences, did anyone seriously think the polls were going to be stable?

The Guardian has this, whilst Nick Robinson has this.

Oh, and the BBC has this on election pressure!


Anonymous said...

Cameroon played it wrong.
He should have made a balls-up of conference.
Gorgan would have called because of the balls-up.
Then Cameroon could have unleashed more than what he has so far, PLUS 100% guarantee on constitution referendum.
Gotcha, gorgon you prick!
But no, a Bilderberg boy is a Bilderberg boy!

Anonymous said...

Politicians, aka, filthy perverts and liars

Anonymous said...

Did you notice this from the previous link?

Police also discovered links between British Labour government paedophile suspects and the trafficking of children for purposes of prostitution from Belgium and Portugal (including young boys from the Casa Pia orphanage in Portugal).

So, is the real reason that Maddies parents are being shafted by all and sundry, and the real reason that the press are all over the story ('cos behind it all, they DO know things) that because the true shafters, the true guilty "parties" reside in high political circles?

Anonymous said...

Now, bearing in mind the high level paedophilia and systemic levels of filth and perversion among the political classes, I came around to wondering about the politically imposed quotas for child seizures and social-worker sanctioned kidnappings, aided and abettedBy A FAMILY COURT SYSTEM that operates in total secrecy, where public discussion of cases is illegal, has no right of appeal, and parents have no knowledge of the where-abouts of their children, and have no way of contacting their children
Sounds mighty suspicious to me!
You've been banging on about this previously, Benedict.
Any thoughts?

Anonymous said...

Kinda makes you furious, don't it?

Anonymous said...

Be carefull, big brother is watching you

Anonymous said...

They have given us into the hand of new unhappy lords,

Lords without anger and honour, who dare not carry their swords.

They fight by shuffling papers; they have bright dead alien eyes;

They look at our labour and laughter as a tired man looks at flies.

And the load of their loveless pity is worse than the ancient wrongs,

Their doors are shut in the evening; and they know no songs.

GK Chesterton - "The Secret People"

Anonymous said...

In the world of government where incompetence and corruption are rife, comes the story of the senior civil servant who is lavishly rewarded for having failed on nearly 70pct of the projects which his department have undertaken and overseen.

John Oughton left the Treasury's Office of Government Commerce (OGC) as its chief executive earlier this year. He received an early termination settlement worth £612,000 on top of a pension worth about £1m.

A spokesman for the Public and Commercial Services (PCS) Union said it was a "sizeable" settlement, and he questioned its appropriateness in light of the government's variable record on the delivery of IT schemes.

One objective of the OGC has been to help raise the general standard of IT-based services in government, in part through its Gateway reviews which are independent assessments of IT, which it has failed to do in spectacular fashion.

Oughton fought for Gateway reviews to remain secret, despite a recommendation by the House of Commons' Public Accounts Committee that the reviews be published, a matter which has now gone to the High Court with a date set for March 08 before the case is heard, again at the taxpayers expense.

Oughton left the OGC at the age of 54, the normal retirement age for civil servants being 60.

The compensation package, which is described by the Treasury as "early-termination", means that before he is 60 Oughton will receive five and a half years' pension and compensation at the equivalent of about £75,000 a year. At 60 he will able to receive a pension worth about £1m, topped up by £179,000.

(F*cking Hell, he should be shot)

In the real world, Oughton would have been sacked, without compensation, but as we are all aware, ass-hole Brown's government works in a different way, using taxpayers money like water. To them its free money, and lots more taxpayers can be imported if the locals money dries up.

MP John Pugh, a member of the Public Accounts Committee which regularly questioned the imbecile Oughton, on government IT projects and programmes, said, "I cannot for the life of me see a business case for letting him go on such terms. I am not convinced there is a case."

There is no case. This man failed in his role, the payout is disgusting and the taxpayers want their money back.

Idiotic Reform and revolutionary change that is undertaken without the explicit consent of the people, can only be maintained through force and repression.

Remember that, if nothing else, in the months and years to come.