Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Labour on lowest poll rating ever

According to this poll in the Times today. It puts Labour on 29% (-1) Conservatives on 37% (Also -1) and the Liberal Democrats on 20% (+2).

According to Martin Baxter's election predictor here, that gives a seat break down of 321 seats for the Conservatives, 243 for Labour and 53 for the Liberal Democrats. That puts the Conservatives 5 short of an overall majority.

Last Tuesday, in this article I predicted that Labour would go below 30% and they have. They have hit their lowest poll rating ever and I still predict that they can fall from here. The only question is can the Conservatives capitalise on Labour's woes.

Mind you I am still waiting for my favourite pollsters ICM and YouGov to produce polls as they will make more interesting reading.

3 comments:

Richard Havers said...

If the suppressed poll done by the Herald, mentioned on Iain Dale's site then they've slipped even lower in Scotland - somewhere closer to 25%

Colin Campbell said...

Wow they are less popular than Celtic fans at Ibrox. Part of the issue is that the Tories have a toff as an alternative and that does not go down too well with much of the UK.

Benedict White said...

Richard Havers, I am aware of that poll, but it is not by a transparent pollster so I would not bet on it.

Colin, I hear what you are saying, but the fact is that Cameron is going down well in large parts of the country.