When I entered the politicalbetting.com 2007 prediction competition I predicted that Gordon Brown would get a poll bounce of 3% when he took over compared to the average ICM position of the previous 3 months.
Well, the last ICM poll just before he took over had Labour on 38% compared to the Conservatives on 35%.
According to Conservative home, there is a new ICM survey showing Labour on 37% and the Conservatives on 35%.
Hmm.. losing points already after wall to wall positive coverage?
I also predicted that Gordon Brown would be 5% down on his first honeymoon polls after 3 months.
Looks like I was right, or at least the numbers are going the right way.
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