Saturday, May 12, 2007

Poll shows Gordon Brown would hand victory to Cameron

There is a poll out in tomorrows Sunday Times showing that Labour have closed the gap on the Conservatives, giving the Conservatives 38% (-1) Labour 34% (+2) and the Liberal Democrats on 15% (-1). using Anthony wells swing calculator that leads to a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party.

However if asked who they would vote for if Gordon Brown was leader of Labour and David Cameron leader of the Conservatives then the numbers are Conservative 42%, Labour 32% and presumably the Liberal democrats unchanged. That gives the Conservatives a majority of 32 seats!

Oh happy days!

Mind you we will have to wait a while to see the actual trend under Brown.

hat tip to Iain Dale, who has this.


Anonymous said...

If the dour jock thinks that he cab pretend to be cuddly and humble, the electorate will tell him what the think of it. ie bollocks to Brown!

ChrisD said...

Tom Bower's piece in the Telegraph today is worth a read, just about to tackle his biography of Brown.

Benedict White said...

Anonymous, We will have to see how that goes.

ChrisD, I will have to look that one up. By today's do you mean Saturday's or Sunday's?

ChrisD said...

It was in Saturday's, just search for Tom Bower in their website.

Benedict White said...

ChrisD, many thanks!